In the aggregation, which is anchored to the 2013 election results, I have the Coalition on 50.9 per cent, to Labor on 49.1 per cent.I should note that the aggregation uses the published ReachTEL results and not my recalculation noted above.
Saturday, June 11, 2016
ReachTEL 50-50
The latest poll from ReachTEL has the gladiators evenly matched on a 50-50 share of the two-party preferred vote. However, if I apply the gross preference flows at the last election to ReachTEL's primary vote estimates, I get the Coalition on 51.9 to Labor on 48.1 per cent.
In the aggregation, which is anchored to the 2013 election results, I have the Coalition on 50.9 per cent, to Labor on 49.1 per cent.I should note that the aggregation uses the published ReachTEL results and not my recalculation noted above.
In the aggregation, which is anchored to the 2013 election results, I have the Coalition on 50.9 per cent, to Labor on 49.1 per cent.I should note that the aggregation uses the published ReachTEL results and not my recalculation noted above.
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