Friday, March 4, 2016

Betting market update

Another Friday, another update. We start with this morning's odds and the implied election win probabilities for the Coalition at the next election.

House Coalition Odds ($) Labor Odds ($) Coalition Win Probability (%)
2016-03-04 Betfair 1.17 5.27 81.83
2016-03-04 CrownBet 1.12 6.00 84.27
2016-03-04 Ladbrokes 1.14 5.50 82.83
2016-03-04 Luxbet 1.14 5.50 82.83
2016-03-04 Sportsbet 1.14 5.50 82.83
2016-03-04 TABtouch 1.16 5.00 81.17
2016-03-04 William Hill 1.15 5.50 82.71

Next we will look at the movements in the implied probabilities over the past week.

Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Betfair 84.83 85.46 85.57 85.57 82.86 82.11 83.09 81.83
CrownBet 84.27 84.27 84.27 84.27 84.27 84.27 84.27 84.27
Ladbrokes 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83
Luxbet 83.70 83.70 83.70 83.70 83.70 82.16 83.70 82.83
Sportsbet 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83 82.83
TABtouch 81.17 81.17 81.17 81.17 81.17 81.17 81.17 81.17
William Hill 82.71 82.71 82.71 82.71 82.71 82.71 82.71 82.71

And the charts.





For more information on how I calculate the implied probabilities, click here.

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